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Gameweek board

Every team’s next match, as our in-house Elo ratings see it: win probability, clean-sheet chance, expected goals — and who moved overnight. Context numbers, refreshed nightly; the locked match calls live on each match page and in the ledger.

Snapshot 3 Jul 2026 · refreshed nightly

One row per team — its next fixture, sorted by win probability.

TeamNextWinClean sheetxG for / againstDay move
Argentinav Cape Verde Islands48%36%1.7 / 1.0
Colombiav Ghana46%35%1.6 / 1.1
Mexicov England45%34%1.6 / 1.1
USAv Belgium45%34%1.6 / 1.1
Brazilv Norway45%33%1.6 / 1.1
Portugalv Spain43%32%1.5 / 1.2
Canadav Morocco42%31%1.5 / 1.2
Paraguayv France39%29%1.5 / 1.2
Franceat Paraguay33%23%1.2 / 1.5
Moroccoat Canada32%22%1.2 / 1.5
Spainat Portugal32%21%1.2 / 1.5
Norwayat Brazil31%20%1.1 / 1.6
Belgiumat USA30%20%1.1 / 1.6
Englandat Mexico30%20%1.1 / 1.6
Ghanaat Colombia30%19%1.1 / 1.6
Cape Verde Islandsat Argentina29%19%1.0 / 1.7

These are estimates from our own Elo ratings — a deliberately simple in-house model, shown for context and refreshed nightly. They are not the locked, scored match calls that make up the public record, and like everything here they are analysis, not betting advice.